EUR/USD:
GOUD:
ZILVER:
BTC:
EUR/USD: | GOUD: | BTC:
uw vermogen beschermd
Vergelijk de prijs van goud en zilver
GOUD
Troy
Ounce
 
ZILVER
Troy
Ounce
 
PLATINA
Troy
Ounce
 
PALLADIUM
Troy
Ounce
 
Plus500: A leading CFD provider
Uw vermogen loopt risico
Plus500UK Ltd is geautoriseerd & gereguleerd
door de FCA
De demo mode is vrij van risico
BITCOIN
BTC
 
ETHEREUM
ETH
 
RIPPLE
XRP
 
LITECOIN
LTC
 
IOTA
MIOTA
 
NEO
NEO
 
MONERO
XMR
 
EOS
EOS
 
Global MarketCap Crypto:
 
Eric Sprott
maandag 12 augustus 2019 - 18:06 Global Central Banks Move To Keep The Party Rolling Onward - Chris Vermeulen

August 12, 2019

The recent news that the US Fed, China and many of the global central banks are continuing to make efforts to lower rates and spark further consumer spending and economic activity is reminiscent of the late 2010~2013 global economic recovery efforts. This was a time when the economy was much slower than current levels and when central banks were doing everything possible to attempt to raise consumer and business activity related to capital.

The world’s governments and banks operate on a very simple premise – transactions and economic activity must continue to operate within a fairly standard range of consistency in order for tax revenues and transactional fees to drive profits/income. If extended periods of economic contraction persist, the capacity to function within standard operating parameters diminishes very quickly for these institutions. A -5% to -10% contraction in asset values, transactional business, tax revenues and/or consumer activity over an extended period of time could result in a catastrophic set of events taking place.

All the credit issues and interest rate changes recently allowed us to profit from collapse in the stock market and rally in metals for a quick 24.16% profit last week.

THE 2008-09 GLOBAL CREDIT MARKET COLLAPSE

In the 2008-09 global credit market collapse, we witnessed an event that accelerated well beyond this -10% contraction very quickly. We believe the reason the US Fed and Global Central Banks are engaging in stimulus that is designed to attempt to spark further lending, borrowing and increased consumer activities to prompt another round of expansion within the global economy. We believe these efforts to support global asset prices and transactional processes and fees may end up supporting a process where many central banks and governments may end up paying consumers to borrow (negative interest rates) and pay consumers to continue engaging in economic activities.

Historically, central bank rates have never been this low in recent history and recent news that global central banks may continue to lower interest rates, ease monetary policy and introduce new stimulus programs suggests that concerns of a global market recession are real and that concerns the global consumer may contract economic activity and spending are real. Yet, is the answer to this problem related to real lending rates or something else?

Source: Global-Rates.com


COUNTRIES WHERE RISKS ARE EXCESSIVELY HIGHER RATES

It appears from our research that the only countries that are capable of operating at rates that are closer to normal are countries where risks are excessive and rates are higher because they need to attract investment into their debt/bonds. Established markets appear to be operating in a mode where lending rates are not conducive to traditional economic mechanisms of spending, saving, investing and rational accounting fundamental. The closest example we can use to attempt to explain this process is to state that we believe the credit markets never fully recovered after the 2008-09 credit market collapse and the new debt created from that event has, as of yet, failed to prompt any real economic expansion.

We believe the global economy is within a transitional process that will result in a longer-term economic expansion – yet we believe the process of achieving this expansion may require the destruction of certain aspects of the current economic system. The chart below highlights the efforts from 2003 through early 2019 of global banks to stimulate and stabilize the global economy with every tool available.

As difficult as it is to see in this image, global central banks have engaged in various efforts, at various times, to enact a concerted effort to stimulated the global economy, then back away from stimulus to evaluate the individual processes of the global economy and its ability to support itself. Each rise in QE activity is marked with new challenges and new efforts to spark economic activity. We believe one of the main challenges of this policy is that QE efforts may have benefited the wrong segment of the global population at the time and further eroded the intended outcome of these efforts.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Throughout this incredible global effort to stimulate and stabilize the global economy, certain facets of the global economy have reacted positively while others have reacted negatively. Obviously, the benefits and failures of this continuing effort to transition through the recent economic malaise have resulted in a number of various advancements and declines over the years. It is rather interesting how capital has shifted into and out of various markets, segments, commodities and other forms in an effort to chase opportunity and returns while it appears the fundamental components of the global economy are still somewhat weak.

Next, in Part II of this article, we’ll take a look at some of the winners and losers over the past 10 to 20+ years as a series of global economic events continue to roil the global markets and we’ll discuss what we believe may become the final transitional phase of this global event.


Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic.

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris also contributes market insight to several financial hubs like SprottMoney.com


The author is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Sprott Money Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in this material are those of the author or guest speaker, are subject to change and may not necessarily reflect the opinions of Sprott Money Ltd. Sprott Money does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and reliability of the information or any results from its use.

 
Vergelijk de prijs van goud en zilver
Powered By:

Daily Headlines

Meld je aan voor de de dagelijkse mailing. Je ontvangt dan elke avond de meest opmerkelijke headlines van de dag op het door jouw opgegeven e-mailadres.
E-mailadres:

Bedankt voor je aanmelding.

Vanaf heden ontvang je dagelijks de meest opmerkelijke headlines van de dag.
Je kunt het venster nu sluiten.

Goudportal.nl

Over GoudPortal.nl

Goudportal.nl is in 2009 opgericht door Richard de Feber om de andere kant van het economische nieuws te belichten. Veel van het nieuws omtrent de economie en de crisis dat wordt gepubliceerd door de gevestigde media is totaal niet gebaseerd op de huidige werkelijkheid. Mensen beginnen wakker te worden uit de droom dat de economie altijd maar door kan groeien. De gemiddelde burger wordt steeds slimmer en gaat zelf op onderzoek uit.

Goudportal.nl heeft een unieke samenstelling van nieuws voor u geselecteerd, zodat u altijd op de hoogte bent van wat er speelt in de wereld. Op Goudportal.nl staan dagelijks nieuwe headlines over de economie, goud, cryptocurrencies en nog tal van andere onderwerpen. U kunt zelf bepalen welke onderwerpen u als nieuws wenst te zien op Goudportal.nl. U kunt de rubrieken zelf in of uitschakelen en zo het nieuws te personaliseren.

Heeft u zelf interessant nieuws dat u wilt delen? Tip de redactie en stuur een e-mail naar [email protected].

Contact

Naam:
E-mailadres:
Opmerking:

Bedankt voor uw bericht. Wij gaan er zo snel mogelijk mee aan de slag! U kunt het venster nu sluiten.

Goudportal.nl

Categorieën in- en uitschakelen
Personal Finance
Edelmetalen
Cryptocurrency
Grondstoffen
Economie Algemeen
Crisis & Recessie
(Geo-) politiek
Oorlog & Conflicten
Corruptie & Schandaal
Trends & Transitie
Miljonairs & Miljardairs