In 1900, 4.1% of the US population was 65+. This year, 13% of the US population is 65+ and entitlement spending accounts for 8.7% of GDP In 10 years (2022): 2037 (25 years on): Not surprisingly, there will be far more women than men in the 65+
In 1900, 4.1% of the US population was 65+. This year, 13% of the US population is 65+ and entitlement spending accounts for 8.7% of GDP In 10 years (2022): 2037 (25 years on): Not surprisingly, there will be far more women than men in the 65+
In four months the debate over America's Fiscal cliff will come to a crescendo, and if Goldman is correct (and in this case it likely is), it will probably be resolved in some sort of compromise, but not before the market swoons in a replica of the August 2011 pre- and post-debt ceiling fiasco: after all politicians only act when they (and their more influential, read richer, voters and lobbyists) see one or two 0's in their 401(k)s get chopped off. But while the Fiscal cliff is unlikely to be a key point of contention far past December, another cliff is only starting to be appreciated, let alone priced in: America's Demographic cliff, which in a decade or two will put Japan's ongoing demographic crunch to shame, and with barely 2 US workers for every retired person in 2035, we can see why both presidential candidates are doing their darnedest to skirt around the key issue that is at stake not only now, be every day hence.
Lees verder op zerohedge.comWith the Olympics about to kick off in all its glorious celebration, the sad reality of UK's GDP shrinking 0.7% as the empire drops further into a double-dip. As Bloomberg Brief notes, this came along with a 5.2% plunge in construction output as the IMF estimates austerity has cut 2.5% off GDP. What is most concerning is that GDP has fallen for five of the last seven quarters and is now 4.5% below pre-crisis levels. The level of disbelief is palpable though since the BoE sees only a 10% chance of this recession lasting into 2013 and while it estimates that it will take until 2014 before the UK gets back to the 2008 level (magically), we note that that is already longer than it took during The Great Depression.
Lees verder op zerohedge.comNetherlands, that one of four remaining AAA-rated Eurozone countries (by the big 3 rating agencies at least), was just downgraded by Egan Jones. And for good measure, EJ also cut Austria, both to A, outlook negative.
Netherlands, that one of four remaining AAA-rated Eurozone countries (by the big 3 rating agencies at least), was just downgraded by Egan Jones. And for good measure, EJ also cut Austria, both to A, outlook negative.
The Netherlands is among the European Union's top economies. However, the Netherlands has been shouldering the burdens of other EU countries and their banks via its exposure to the EFSF and indirectly via the ECB. The country's debt to GDP of 75% as of 2011 (expect near 82% for 2012) and a deficit to GDP of 4.7% is weak and is understated due to exposures to the EU periphery and the Netherland's financial institutions. On the positive side, unemployment was only 5.8% but will probably increase as many EU countries implement austerity measures. Other positives were the EUR48B balance of trade surplus and the EUR67B current account surplus as of the end of 2011. Inflation is near 2.5% currently (per the the Dutch Statistics Office) but is up from 0% in 2009 and will probably rise with monetization.
Lees verder op zerohedge.comLast week's bond auctions have finally settled and the numbers are in. As of the last day of June, the US had a record $15,856,367,214,324.44 in debt, a $75 billion increase overnight, and a post World-War II high Federal debt/GDP ratio of 101.5%.
Lees verder op zerohedge.comRichard Heinberg examines the ongoing financial crisis, explaining how and why it occurred, and what we must do to avert the worst potential outcomes. Describes what policymakers, communities, and families can do to build a new economy that operates within Earth's budget of energy and resources. Heinberg argues we can thrive during the transition if we set goals that promote human and environmental well-being, rather than continuing to pursue the now-unattainable prize of ever-expanding GDP.
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